Abstract
Introduction. In recent years the innovative development of Armenia has become one of the pressing issues in the context of both theory and application practice. This article is devoted to the analysis and assessment of the coutnry's innovative potential from the perspective of ensuring sustainable economic growth in the long term. Under partial blockade of transport communications, noticeable shortage of internal growth sources in the form of natural resources or accumulated capital, the focus of the sustainable economic growth policy in Armenia is on the human capital development. At the same time, in conditions of the turbulent global economy and geopolitical instability it is important to prioritize the development of Armenian economy from the standpoint of innovative potential, which, in the author's opinion, will enable the country to become more resistant to external shocks and crises. The key goal of the research is to analyze and assess the innovative potential of Armenia, also regarding prospects for economic growth in the long term.
Materials and methods. Methodologically the research is based on a set of provisions of modern economic theory relating to the innovative potential of the economy and criteria to assess it. The methods used in the research are those of qualitative and statistical analysis of indicators, followed by identification of cause-and-effect relationships, observation and synthesis. Results and conclusions. The research made it possible to identify key theoretical approaches to the issue of innovative economic development, including against the background of positive and negative consequences for economic growth. The article thoroughly examined theoretical prerequisites for the country's innovative potential development and analyzed innovative development of the Armenian economy in relation to the criteria highlighted in the research. The criteria for innovative economic development were analyzed and assessed in terms of the long-term prospects for sustainable economic growth in Armenia. The research result is the conclusion that the Armenian economy needs significant injections into the field of scientific and technological development to strengthen the country's innovative potential in the long term. In addition, the focus of the conclusions is also on recommendations for human capital development, in the context of the existing potential in Armenia.
References
Liezina, A. V., Andriushchenko, K. A., Rozhko, O. D., Datsii, O. I., Mishchenko, L. О., & Cherniaieva, O. O. (2020). Resource planning for risk diversification in the formation of a digital twin enterprise. Accounting, 6(7), 1337-1344. DOI: 10.5267/j.ac.2020.8.016 EDN: YMASQQ
Nitsenko, V., Kotenko, S., Hanzhurenko, I., & Ingram, K. L. R. (2020). Determination of weight coefficients for stochastic and fuzzy risks for multimodal transportation. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 1529(2), Article 032007. DOI: 10.1088/1742-6596/1529/3/032007 EDN: FQKRUT
Nitsenko, V., Kotenko, S., Hanzhurenko, I., Mardani, A., Stashkevych, I., & Karakai, M. (2019). Mathematical modeling of multimodal transportation risks. In R. Ghazali, N. Nawi, M. Deris, & J. Abawajy (Eds.) Recent Advances on Soft Computing and Data Mining (pp. 439-447). Springer International Publishing. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-36056-6_41
Соколов А. П. Потенциал развития экономики регионов: методика стимулирования инновационной активности // Финансовый менеджмент. 2023. № 5-2. С. 139-148. DOI: 10.25806/fm5-22023139-148 EDN: PMJTYB
Качанова Е. А., Чевтаева Н. Г., Ударцев Н. С. Глобальные вызовы для социальноэкономического развития России: анализ и оценка // Проблемы теории и практики управления. 2022. № 3. С. 183-198. EDN: TBKVAQ
Победин А. А. Пересмотр современных классификаций санкций в свете санкционного режима в отношении России // R-Economy. 2022. Т. 8, № 3. С. 196-207. DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.3.016 EDN: HRNREA
Федулов Д. В., Победин А. А. Инновации и их влияние на экономический рост // Экономические науки. 2022. № 208. С. 203-207. DOI: 10.14451/1.208.203 EDN: TLAZOC
Shvindina, H., Taraniuk, L., Kotenko, S., Awujola, A., Taraniuk, K., & Hongzhou, Q. (2022). Cross-country analysis of competitiveness towards innovation potential assessment for industrials. Journal of Eastern European and Central Asian Research, 9(2), 165-182. DOI: 10.15549/jeecar.v9i2.711 EDN: DXHYMS
Ерыгин Ю. В., Ерыгина Л. В., Шумаков Ф. П. Инновационный потенциал: значение для экономики, виды и подходы к оценке // Финансовая экономика. 2023. № 1. С. 196-198. EDN: EUBBQO
Глазунова В. В. Инновационный потенциал экономики: подходы к оценке и формирование // Микроэкономика. 2023. № 3. С. 12-23. DOI: 10.33917/mic-3.110.2023.12-23 EDN: WYCLCK
Liefner, I., & Jessberger, S. (2016). The use of the analytical hierarchy process as a method of comparing innovation across regions: The examples of the equipment manufacturing industries of Shanghai and Xiamen, China. Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space, 48(6), 1188-1208. DOI: 10.1177/0308518x16636886
Aghion, P., Bloom, N., Blundell, R., Griffith, R., & Howitt, P. (2005). Competition and innovation: An inverted-U relationship. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(2), 701-728. DOI: 10.1093/qje/120.2.701
Новоскольцева Ю. Ю., Качанова Е. А. Инновационно - инвестиционный проект: проблемы оценки и анализа // Проблемы теории и практики управления. 2022. № 4. С. 114-127. EDN: DJSGXG
Maâlej, A. (2022). The role of entrepreneurship and innovation in the environmental and economic dimensions of growth. Insights into Regional Development, 4(2), 85-95. DOI: 10.9770/ird.2022.4.2(7) EDN: HDLHIO
Chehabeddine, M. R., Grabowska, S., & Adekola, A. F. (2022). Building a model for securing regional development from ecological threats. Insights into Regional Development, 4(2), 22-40. DOI: 10.9770/IRD.2022.4.2(2) EDN: PHWAUA
Васюта Е. А., Подольская Т. В. Тренды инновационного развития экономик стран мира и приоритетные направления для России // Государственное и муниципальное управление. Ученые записки. 2023. № 1. С. 61-67. DOI: 10.22394/2079-1690-2023-1-1-61-67 EDN: UYPRFR
Носова К. Н. Роль инноваций в развитии экономики региона (на примере Владимирской области) // Наука Красноярья. 2023. Т. 12, № 1-3. С. 101-105. EDN: QYKTTM
Кабалинская Н. А. Внедрение инноваций в инфраструктурных отраслях экономики регионов на примере цифровизации транспортной инфраструктуры г. Москвы // Вестник РАЕН. 2023. Т. 23, № 2. С. 96-102. DOI: 10.52531/1682-1696-2023-23-2-96-102 EDN: APTTFH
Лопатова Н. Использование инструментов инвестиционной политики для стимулирования инновационного развития экономики в условиях цифровизации // Наука и инновации. 2023. № 10 (248). С. 40-43. DOI: 10.29235/1818-9857-2023-10-40-43 EDN: IPUAHE
Митина Н. Н., Сун Я. Трансформация и модернизация обрабатывающей промышленности Китая // Инновации и инвестиции. 2022. № 9. С. 31-37. EDN: AAHPEO
Ли Ш., Яненко М. Б. Проблемы и вызовы инноваций в маркетинге и рекламе реального сектора экономики Китайской Народной Республики в условиях цифровой трансформации // Бизнес. Образование. Право. 2023. № 2 (63). С. 223-227. DOI: 10.25683/VOLBI.2023.63.672 EDN: CLOYIN
Янь М. Ц., Шкарина В. С. Инновационный потенциал развития экономики региона: проблемы и перспективы // Интеллект. Инновации. Инвестиции. 2023. № 6. С. 56-65. DOI: 10.25198/2077-7175-2023-6-56 EDN: REKBJH
Arif, U., & Ahmad, E. (2020). A framework for analyzing the impact of fiscal decentralization on macroeconomic performance, governance and economic growth. Singapore Economic Review, 65(1), 3-39. DOI: 10.1142/S0217590818500194 EDN: KAZFAY
Mohamed, M. M. A., Liu, P., & Nie, G. (2021). Are technological innovation and foreign direct investment a way to boost economic growth? An Egyptian case study using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. Sustainability, 13(6), Article 3265. DOI: 10.3390/su13063265 EDN: FLATMR
Freel, M. S., & Robson, P. J. A. (2004). Small firm innovation, growth and performance. Evidence from Scotland and Northern England. International Small Business Journal, 22(6), 561-575. DOI: 10.1177/0266242604047410 EDN: JMSWMB
Coad, A., Nightingale, P., Stilgoe, J., & Vezzani, A. (2020). Editorial: The dark side of innovation. Industry and Innovation, 28(1), 102-112. DOI: 10.1080/13662716.2020.1818555 EDN: QEXRWC
Liezina, A. V., Andriushchenko, K. A., Rozhko, O. D., Datsii, O. I., Mishchenko, L. О., & Cherniaieva, O. O. (2020). Resource planning for risk diversification in the formation of a digital twin enterprise. Accounting, 6(7), 1337-1344. DOI: 10.5267/j.ac.2020.8.016 EDN: YMASQQ
Nitsenko, V., Kotenko, S., Hanzhurenko, I., & Ingram, K. L. R. (2020). Determination of weight coefficients for stochastic and fuzzy risks for multimodal transportation. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 1529(2), Article 032007. DOI: 10.1088/1742-6596/1529/3/032007 EDN: FQKRUT
Nitsenko, V., Kotenko, S., Hanzhurenko, I., Mardani, A., Stashkevych, I., & Karakai, M. (2019). Mathematical modeling of multimodal transportation risks. In R. Ghazali, N. Nawi, M. Deris, & J. Abawajy (Eds.) Recent Advances on Soft Computing and Data Mining (pp. 439-447). Springer International Publishing. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-36056-6_41
Sokolov, A. P. (2023). The potential of regional economic development: Methods of stimulating innovation activity. Financial Management, (5-2), 139-148. DOI: 10.25806/fm5-22023139-148 EDN: PMJTYB
Kachanova, E. A., Chevtaeva, N. G., & Udartsev, N. S. (2022). Global challenges for Russia's socio - economic development: Analysis and evaluation. Problems of Management Theory and Practice, (3), 183-198. EDN: TBKVAQ
Pobedin, A. A. (2022). Reconsidering contemporary classifications of sanctions in the light of the Russia sanctions regime. R-Economy, 8(3), 196-207. DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.3.016 EDN: HRNREA
Fedulov, D. V., & Pobedin, A. A. (2022). Innovations and their impact on economic growth. Economic Sciences, (208), 203-207. DOI: 10.14451/1.208.203 EDN: TLAZOC
Shvindina, H., Taraniuk, L., Kotenko, S., Awujola, A., Taraniuk, K., & Hongzhou, Q. (2022). Cross-country analysis of competitiveness towards innovation potential assessment for industrials. Journal of Eastern European and Central Asian Research, 9(2), 165-182. DOI: 10.15549/jeecar.v9i2.711 EDN: DXHYMS
Erygin, Yu. V., Erygina, L. V., & Shumakov, F. P. (2023). Innovative potential: Economic significance, types and approaches to assessment. Financial Economics, (1), 196-198. EDN: EUBBQO
Glazunova, V. V. (2023). Innovative potential of the economy: Approaches to assessment and formation. Microeconomics, (3), 12-23. DOI: 10.33917/mic-3.110.2023.12-23 EDN: WYCLCK
Liefner, I., & Jessberger, S. (2016). The use of the analytical hierarchy process as a method of comparing innovation across regions: The examples of the equipment manufacturing industries of Shanghai and Xiamen, China. Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space, 48(6), 1188-1208. DOI: 10.1177/0308518x16636886
Aghion, P., Bloom, N., Blundell, R., Griffith, R., & Howitt, P. (2005). Competition and innovation: An inverted-U relationship. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(2), 701-728. DOI: 10.1093/qje/120.2.701
Novoskoltseva, Yu. Yu., & Kachanova, E. A. (2022). Innovation and investment project: Problems of evaluation and analysis. Problems of Management Theory and Practice, (4), 114-127. EDN: DJSGXG
Maâlej, A. (2022). The role of entrepreneurship and innovation in the environmental and economic dimensions of growth. Insights into Regional Development, 4(2), 85-95. DOI: 10.9770/ird.2022.4.2(7) EDN: HDLHIO
Chehabeddine, M. R., Grabowska, S., & Adekola, A. F. (2022). Building a model for securing regional development from ecological threats. Insights into Regional Development, 4(2), 22-40. DOI: 10.9770/IRD.2022.4.2(2) EDN: PHWAUA
Vasyuta, E. A., & Podolskaya, T. V. (2023). Trends of foreign economies' innovative development and priority directions for Russia. State and Municipal Management. Scholar Notes, (1), 61-67. DOI: 10.22394/2079-1690-2023-1-1-61-67 EDN: UYPRFR
Nosova, K. N. (2023). Role of innovations in the development of the regional economy (by the example of the Vladimir region). Krasnoyarsk Science, 12(1-3), 101-105. EDN: QYKTTM
Kabalinskaya, N. A. (2023). Introduction of innovations in the infrastructure sectors of the economy of the regions on the example of digitalization of the transport infrastructure of Moscow. Bulletin of RANS, 23(2), 96-102. DOI: 10.52531/1682-1696-2023-23-2-96-102
Lopatova, N. (2023). Using investment policy instruments to stimulate innovative development of the economy in the context of digitalization. Science and Innovations, (10), 40-43. DOI: 10.29235/1818-9857-2023-10-40-43 EDN: IPUAHE
Mitina, N. N., & Sun, Y. (2022). Transformation and modernization of China's manufacturing industry. Innovation and Investment, (9), 31-37. EDN: AAHPEO
Lee, Sh., & Yanenko, M. B. (2023). Problems and challenges of innovations in marketing and advertising of the real sector of the People's Republic of China economy in the conditions of digital transformation. Business. Education. Right, (2), 223-227. DOI: 10.25683/VOLBI.2023.63.672 EDN: CLOYIN
Yan, M. Ts., & Shkarina, V. S. (2023). Innovative potential of regional economic development: Problems and prospects. Intellect. Innovations. Investments, (6), 56-65. DOI: 10.25198/2077-7175-2023-6-56 EDN: REKBJH
Arif, U., & Ahmad, E. (2020). A framework for analyzing the impact of fiscal decentralization on macroeconomic performance, governance and economic growth. Singapore Economic Review, 65(1), 3-39. DOI: 10.1142/S0217590818500194 EDN: KAZFAY
Mohamed, M. M. A., Liu, P., & Nie, G. (2021). Are technological innovation and foreign direct investment a way to boost economic growth? An Egyptian case study using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. Sustainability, 13(6), Article 3265. DOI: 10.3390/su13063265 EDN: FLATMR
Freel, M. S., & Robson, P. J. A. (2004). Small firm innovation, growth and performance. Evidence from Scotland and Northern England. International Small Business Journal, 22(6), 561-575. DOI: 10.1177/0266242604047410 EDN: JMSWMB
Coad, A., Nightingale, P., Stilgoe, J., & Vezzani, A. (2020). Editorial: The dark side of innovation. Industry and Innovation, 28(1), 102-112. DOI: 10.1080/13662716.2020.1818555 EDN: QEXRWC

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Copyright (c) 2025 Management Issues